"See, the Lord has one who is powerful and strong. Like a hailstorm and a destructive wind, like a driving rain and a flooding downpour, he will throw it forcefully to the ground."
-Isaiah 28:2

Sunday, July 1, 2012

Forecast Update

                    Despite the fact that the forecast models hinted at severe weather for three consecutive days, this morning they dropped out and began forecasting solid sun and heat for our chase domain. Now, I will once again state that though the time frame for the forecast is relatively smaller and more susceptible to accuracy, we are still looking at conditions eight days out. From my thirteen years of studying meteorology I can tell you that they will most likely change by the time they are guaranteed accuracy-for better or for worse. As of now we are still looking at good amount of lift and instability, but it seems that our CAPE has flown the coop along with any source of moisture. To better communicate the desperation here, I will not-so-happily say that this next week is our first and last chance to deploy and collect data on a tornado this entire year. Our next chance comes again next summer in the southern portions of Montana and the Black Hills of South Dakota. Believe me when I say that this forecast worries me…

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